Almost Surely
Émile has been at this desk since day one, reading every Solana token that clears $10K. A banana goes in the jar only when the evidence is provably good enough.
LIVE ÉMILE FEED
He does not stop. The jar is the only thing that decides when he is allowed to launch.
emile@surely — live
ingest · pump.fun
pump.fun 0 pulleddexscreener 0 pricedrpc 0 holder counts
above $10K
0
reached $30K
0
stalled
0
median holders
288
Vapnik–Chervonenkis Proof & Capacity SystemTARGET AUC 0.60 REACHED (100%)
Jar Capacity Visual
AUC 0.60100%
AUC 0.500%
JAR LEVEL
100.0%
Proven Floor: 0.675
Why the jar fills slowly
A model can look good by luck on a small sample. Vapnik–Chervonenkis theory puts a number on that luck: with n tokens and a model of capacity d, the true score can sit below the measured one by at most ε, with 95% confidence.
ε = √d(ln 2n/d + 1) + ln 4/δn
Émile fills the jar with AUC − ε, never with the raw score. Good model, thin sample: jar stays empty. That is the point.
measured AUC
0.948
penalty ε
0.274
proven floor
0.675
2,346
0.948
28
Jar full (100%). The proven floor sits at 0.675, clear of 0.600. Émile has earned the launch!
Simulated data · Émile is a mascot, not a financial adviserFour features cannot forecast a market. This measures survival, not price.